i-feel-so-al-ohm
Just answering two questions and leaving the rest for Abipup. Sorry if it's not the answers you're looking for.
More efficient bonding - 5 day rate is lower so the minimum discount goes down - How does this affect holders? Is 2M in bond sales hard to attain? Other protocols with much higher APYs maintain their bond sales so why can't OHM?
Other projects therefore use higher bond discounts to attract bonding and increase runway. But doing this dilutes stakers a lot more over time. Meaning that if the entire project marketcap would 10x in a year, stakers would not feel a 10x increase as they're slowly getting their cookie taken apart by bonders. So if you skew that mechanic too much 3,3 become sub-optimal and 2,2 becomes the dominant strategy (already the case for certain forks). But if that happens, there's no point in holding the token really, it becomes a game of musical chairs where everyone bonds and the treasury grows but nobody wants to hold the token as they'd lose out on too much money. In efficient markets, this would cause selling pressure on the token which would send it straight to RFV/MV/Book value. Now considering many investors in forks don't quite see this yet, the market is still acting rather inefficient and those projects can still stay alive for a while. But we can't expect that behavior to continue indefinitely.
In short: the entire mechanics of Olympus were never meant to keep running at one certain value. Especially not at degen APY. The math just doesn't work out in the long run. There's no real difference between inflation in FIAT markets and APY inflation in Ohm-like protocols. If you're bootstrapping an economy, it may help in the short term (which is why Olympus did it) but long term it never works out.
Easier to maintain sustainable growth via non-bond revenue - There's still a lot of runway left though. And my understanding is that the rewards rate automatically changes according to OIP-18?
Imagine every Ohm token is a kid with a mouth to feed and all of the protocol revenue is food incoming. If you keep printing more Ohm, you're gonna need more revenue to keep all of them fed over time. So if we reduce the amount of Ohm getting printed, the income from our non-bond revenue will "increase" relative to the amount of Ohm in circulation. This means each Ohm is getting more fed compared to become more starved of nutrients each passing day. As protocol revenue can not increase in both speed and amount into infinity, we need to act in sooner rather than later, else we'd become a ponzi scheme that requires new money coming in every day.
If we run out our runway (the pantry) it may cause more panic as people may feel we don't have enough food left to take care of all the Ohm. They might question and lose trust in Olympus being able to provide for the stakers.
Again a reduction of APY is not about making stakers "lose" revenue by decreasing emissions. It's the complete opposite: ensuring stakers are taken care of and not starved over time.